Electrical reform and supply guarantee: Ping An and Suger Baby are in a stable order

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We cannot ignore the beginning of the review of dynamic safety.

(Source: WeChat public number “Motivational New Media” Text/Zhang Shuwei Yin Guangzhi)

The author is from Zhuoerde (Beijing) Central

Ping An, in the social, economic and political fields, the differences between individuals, groups, society and the country, all are in the “first” position. But this advantage is first compared to what it is, and it is often vague. In combination with the current situation, there are (still) some misleading intrinsic discussions and cognitions, such as in some cases, in order to achieve extreme safety, a large number of resources and funds are required to invest in, resulting in limited development in other fields; on the other hand, the direction of viewing safety as the highest goal can also lead to excessive protection measures, which in turn affects the system’s flexibility and normal effectiveness.

Once these methods become mainstream in society, they affect the minds of most decision makers, which can lead to high economic and social costs, or even unaffordable prices. In the end, this will damage the ability to ensure safety in the long run, thus forming a loss of stable order requests.

The Ministry of Electric Power plays a major role in national economic and social development. With the continuous start of the fifteenth Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), the deepening of power reform has gained momentum, and how to deal with relevant and uncertain causes of safety in the supply environment has become particularly important.

We need to clarify some key concepts such as fluctuation, risk, uncertainty, ignorance and subjective probability. These concepts help us accurately evaluate and manage safety needs in actual operation, thereby distributing double fair attention, resources and investment between the safety performance of the power system and other priorities.

This article aims to propose the concept of “sustained security” through analysis of the phenomena that have occurred, which not only ensures that the safety of the power system is reliable and stable, but also achieves the progress of existing usefulness in other dimensions and aspects.

At the same time, taking the “15th Five-Year Plan” Power Planning Research in Zhejiang Province as an example, through the comparison of the simulation and situation, we hope to explain how to measure, understand and manage safety from the perspective of planning.

Peace is the same as fairness

No one does not like or seek at all times. Power system industry insiders have repeatedly emphasized: In power systems, peace is the eternal theme. Ping An’s goals and returns are becoming sufficient reasons for various investment and operational behaviors to comply with the laws.

Basic facilities suppliers——The latest emphasis of the Internet company: using strong ultra-high pressure and main web rack as the foundation for the high-quality development of the Internet, strengthen the construction of the power control system, safely operate the Internet, and make good use of the sense of responsibility of “safe and peace of mind”Strongly ensure the supply task. With the legal compliance of Ping An, the “power supply” that does not meet the market rules of Sugar baby‘s “power supply” and other things to be improved are all second-place reasons.

In terms of power pricing mechanism, the Development and Reform Commission explained the reasons for the release of coal-electric power supply (there are suspicious discussions on targeted supplementary stickers) and said: “Better guarantee the safe and stable supply of power.”

In terms of coal and electricity, the National Bureau of Dynamics explained why (after 2020) strengthened the construction of coal and electricity machines. The focus is to ensure the safety of power. Whether it is to provide power supply to the bottom line or to support the incremental development of new forces, it will not be able to open (humanized, no matter how many quantities/new) coal-electricity will be used in the short term.

In terms of natural gas power generation, industry elites performed at the end of 2023: In order to improve their dynamic security capabilities, Sichuan, Guangdong, Shandong and other regions have added natural gas power generation scale and optimized the power structure.

Environmental protection mechanism is strengthened, strengthening renewable power is conducive to power safety. Some major academic masters have reiterated that low-carbon transformation and power safety are not inconsistent.

The large-scale construction of pumped storage is officially considered to be “the main adjustment power supply for ensuring safe and stable Internet operations, and is the main trick to develop and safe, ensure dynamic safety, promote the absorption of new forces, and realize the high-quality development of power systems.” Although there is already a specialist topic: No matter how good the thing is, it also needs to be discussed.

The new energy storage application is generous, and the relevant test chart proves that the new energy storage can be used as a key technology to support the power supply of the new power system and is the main guarantee for the safe and stable operation of the power system.

In terms of hydroelectricity, it is believed by the practitioner to accelerate the implementation of integrated development of watershed watershed and light in the river basin, which has a very important meaning. This is conducive to ensuring the safety of national dynamics.

These comments have their own unique perspectives and values. However, from the perspective of sensibility, it is not sufficient to consider only whether a certain option can have good or advantage at a certain period.

The more important reason is: (1) This goal has many years of value for the overall good, and whether it is worth spending the corresponding capital. This can be called “cost-benefit testing”; (2) Under the slightest comparison, whether there are other better choices can achieve the same goal. This can be called the judgment of “the usefulness of the capital”.

Seriously speaking, only when an option is favorable in both aspects can it be considered emotional.

The real reluctance lies in the fact that a policy, action or a possible change, its benefits and its own capital are affected by uncertain causes such as market environment, policy rules, and emergencies.

For example, the coal price is 500 yuan/t, or 2,500 yuan/t, and the cost of supplying Yide Electricity is nearly 5 times different. In the future (such as 2026-2030), the coal price will be 500 or 2500. Standing at the current time (June 2024), it is still in a random state. As long as the gambler is “gambling, fighting”, the chasing/crazy person will think “it is already there, but you just can’t see through it!”.

Clear concepts and differences

Variability is a stable antonym, referring to the change of a variable or indicator that rises and falls within a certain time. The fluctuation reflects the instability and non-continuity characteristics in the development of things. Sugar daddy‘s traitSugar daddy‘s traitSugar daddy‘s traitSugar daddy‘s traitSugar daddy‘s traitSugar daddy‘s trait